ModulesModule 10Ch. 9: Building Your Personal Strategy
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Building Your Personal Strategy

Module 10: Trading Strategies

9.1

The strategy someone else built for someone else

Tom had spent a year following a trading strategy he had found in a popular trading forum. The strategy was detailed, well-documented, and had an impressive track record from the person who had developed and published it.

Tom''s results were consistently poor. When he studied his journal he found something revealing.

The strategy required checking charts at 3am London time, when the Asian session was ending and the early European session was beginning. Tom worked a normal job. He could not check charts at 3am reliably. When he did manage to check, he was half-asleep and making poor decisions. When he missed the 3am window, he would try to apply the same logic at 9am and get different setups that the strategy was not designed for.

The strategy was not wrong. It was simply not designed for Tom''s life, his available hours, or his sleep schedule.

Tom did not need a better strategy. He needed his strategy, one designed around his actual constraints and his actual psychology rather than someone else''s.

9.2

Starting with your constraints

The most important inputs when building a personal strategy are not analytical. They are logistical.

When can you actually watch the market? Not when you would like to. Not when you could if everything went perfectly. When are you actually reliably available to check charts and manage positions without distraction?

If the honest answer is once per day for thirty minutes in the morning, a daily chart strategy is the only viable option. Position entries and exits on the daily chart. Stop losses wide enough that they do not need to be monitored intraday.

If you can be at the screen for two to three hours during the London session, a daily-four-hour-one-hour approach is viable. You have enough time to monitor developing setups and manage entries in real time.

Building a strategy around your actual available time is not a compromise. It is the foundation of consistency. A daily chart strategy followed consistently produces better results than a one-hour strategy followed intermittently.

9.3

Choosing your core approach

From the strategies covered in this module, identify the one or two that most naturally align with your temperament and thinking style.

Trend following suits traders who are patient, who can hold through pullbacks within an ongoing trend without becoming anxious, and who are focused on capturing large moves rather than frequent wins.

Pullback trading suits traders who are comfortable waiting for the market to come to them, who can resist entering as a breakout occurs and wait patiently for the subsequent pullback to a better price.

Breakout trading suits traders who can accept a lower win rate in exchange for large moves when the breakout is genuine. False breakouts will produce strings of small losses. If consecutive losses destabilise you emotionally, breakout trading is particularly challenging.

Carry trading suits traders who understand fundamental dynamics, particularly interest rate differentials, who think in weeks rather than hours, and who can size positions conservatively enough to survive the inevitable unwinds.

The strategy that works for you over time is not the one with the highest theoretical expectancy. It is the one you can follow with genuine consistency through both good and difficult periods.

9.4

Writing the rules precisely

Once you have chosen your instruments, your timeframes, and your core approach, the next step is writing the strategy rules precisely enough that there is no room for interpretation in the moment.

Vague rules are dangerous because every vague term is a gap through which emotion enters. Consider the difference between these two versions of the same entry rule.

Version one: enter when the setup looks good on the daily chart after a pullback.

Version two: enter on the next candle open after a bullish hammer or bullish engulfing candle forms on the one-hour chart at or within five pips of the 50-day moving average on the daily chart, provided the daily chart is in an uptrend defined as price being above the 200-day moving average with the most recent significant high above the prior significant high.

Version two takes longer to read. It also leaves no room for interpretation. Either the candle is a bullish hammer or it is not. Either price is above the 200-day moving average or it is not. Write your rules to version two standards. Specific. Testable. Unambiguous.

9.5

The strategy is never finished

The strategy you write today is the starting point, not the destination.

Your trading journal, the record of every trade taken, every rule followed or violated, every emotional state at entry and exit, is the primary input for improving the strategy over time. As patterns emerge from the journal data, they become the basis for specific rule refinements.

If the journal shows that pullback entries at the 50-day moving average consistently outperform pullback entries at Fibonacci levels, the rule changes. If the journal shows that your worst decisions consistently occur on Friday afternoons, a session rule is added.

These refinements are not random. They are evidence-based improvements to specific rules based on your own documented trading history. The strategy becomes increasingly personalised to your own strengths, weaknesses, and patterns over time.

After nine modules of the Playbook, you have a complete foundation. The markets, the instruments, the economic forces that drive them, the risk management principles that protect capital, the psychological awareness that supports consistency, and now the strategic approaches that bring it all together. What comes next is the only thing that cannot be taught in a module: the patient, disciplined application of this knowledge across hundreds of real trades, with honest reflection and continuous improvement along the way.

Trend Following
  • Best for: patient traders who can hold through pullbacks
  • Timeframe: daily and four-hour
  • Strength: captures large sustained moves
  • Challenge: pullbacks feel like reversals before they resolve
Pullback Trading
  • Best for: traders who wait for the market to come to them
  • Timeframe: daily for context, one-hour for entry
  • Strength: better entries and tighter stops than trend following
  • Challenge: requires patience to avoid chasing the initial move
Breakout Trading
  • Best for: traders comfortable with lower win rates and large winners
  • Timeframe: daily consolidation, four-hour entry
  • Strength: explosive moves when breakout is genuine
  • Challenge: false breakouts produce strings of small losses
Support and Resistance
  • Best for: analytical traders who study historical price levels
  • Timeframe: any, but daily levels carry most weight
  • Strength: clear defined entry and exit levels
  • Challenge: breakouts of range require immediate framework switch
Carry Trading
  • Best for: fundamental thinkers focused on interest rate differentials
  • Timeframe: weeks to months
  • Strength: generates income simply from holding position
  • Challenge: violent unwinds require very conservative sizing
Key Takeaways
1
The best strategy is the one you can follow consistently. It must match your actual available time, your genuine psychological tendencies, the instruments you understand, and your risk tolerance. A theoretically superior strategy you cannot follow is worse than a simpler strategy you follow consistently.
2
Start with your constraints. When you are actually available to watch the market determines which timeframes are viable. Building a strategy around your real available time rather than your ideal available time is the foundation of consistency.
3
Choose your core approach based on honest self-assessment of your temperament. Trend following suits patience, pullback trading suits those who wait for the market to come to them, breakout trading suits acceptance of lower win rates, and carry trading suits fundamental understanding and long-term perspective.
4
Write rules precisely enough that there is no room for interpretation in the moment. Every vague term is a gap through which emotion enters. Specific, testable, unambiguous rules remove discretion from the emotionally charged moments of live trading.
5
The strategy is never finished. Journal data provides evidence-based refinements to specific rules over time. The strategy becomes increasingly personalised to your own strengths, weaknesses, and patterns as documented trading history accumulates.

Chapter Quiz

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